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Red41
929814.4
960516.2
650029.2
Blue97
776327.0
960714.1
153332.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5682020401001201404197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+52
Endgame+54
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +42
5Coral scored#16
18Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
28Total teleop70
Reef
1L4#8
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
6Foul points8
41Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.22.2
23.120.9
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
blue by 3.5
32.71.6
28.830.4
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
Second
9605
#15
16.22.2
12.710.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 10.8
27.01.6
26.628.2
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End1.8
Third
9298
#29
14.42.2
13.411.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
red by 0.3
9607
#27
14.11.6
12.814.4
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed