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Red69
80908.6
456134.4
929814.4
Blue103
650235.9
479543.3
960516.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517102040608010012069103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+34
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +23
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points51
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#4
6Processor points0
8Net points16
14Algae points16
44Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#24
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
69Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.42.3
28.731.0
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
blue by 8.9
43.33.6
33.236.8
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
Second
9298
#29
14.42.3
8.911.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 21.4
6502
#17
35.93.6
21.024.6
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
Third
8090
#25
8.62.3
10.813.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 7.6
9605
#15
16.23.6
10.414.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed