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Red44
960714.1
95596.2
482923.7
Blue40
624214.0
264021.5
1010710.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624802040801001204440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
5Coral scored#5
19Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
27Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
44Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.7
26.624.9
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
red by 2.2
2640
#10
21.50.8
12.812.0
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Second
9607
#27
14.11.7
13.011.3
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 0.2
6242
#22
14.00.8
18.317.5
Auto0.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Third
9559
#26
6.21.7
13.712.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 4.4
10.60.8
11.010.1
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed