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Red97
960516.2
456134.4
58745.9
Blue80
153332.7
650029.2
486123.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88896070801001101201309780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+41Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +31
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
69Total teleop38
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
97Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.91.5
38.039.4
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 13.2
32.70.1
33.233.2
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
Second
34.41.5
31.032.5
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
red by 5.2
29.20.1
27.127.2
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Third
9605
#15
16.21.5
14.015.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 7.1
4861
#16
23.30.1
19.019.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned