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Red89
80908.6
872732.7
1010710.6
Blue73
960714.1
929814.4
650235.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575401001502008973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
64Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
12Foul points0
89Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#12
32.71.4
27.929.3
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End2.0
blue by 3.2
6502
#17
35.91.1
24.625.7
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
Second
10.61.4
10.111.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
blue by 3.9
9298
#29
14.41.1
11.212.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Third
8090
#25
8.61.4
13.114.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 5.5
9607
#27
14.11.1
11.312.4
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed