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Red9
95596.2
90058.4
624214.0
Blue70
600424.4
482828.9
68887.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396102080100120140970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +52
1Coral scored#11
2Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
2Total teleop54
Reef
0L4#5
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points6
9Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6242
#22
14.02.9
17.514.6
Auto0.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
blue by 15.0
28.91.0
26.227.1
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
Second
9005
#28
8.42.9
7.64.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 16.0
6004
#14
24.41.0
23.324.3
Auto4.6
Teleop18.1
End1.7
Third
9559
#26
6.22.9
12.09.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 1.0
6888
#30
7.21.0
4.95.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed