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Red77
482828.9
479543.3
153332.7
Blue33
600424.4
122516.8
929814.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1145101001507733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
51Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
77Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.32.8
39.536.7
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
red by 19.0
6004
#14
24.41.9
24.322.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.1
End1.7
Second
32.72.8
33.230.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
red by 15.9
1225
#13
16.81.9
15.813.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
Third
28.92.8
27.124.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 14.5
9298
#29
14.41.9
12.310.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed