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Red58
960714.1
789028.7
80908.6
Blue104
842925.3
650029.2
58745.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57107015058104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+38
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +38
9Coral scored#19
32Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
46Total teleop84
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
58Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7890
#20
28.71.0
26.926.0
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
blue by 17.1
587
#11
45.90.1
39.439.3
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
9607
#27
14.11.0
12.411.4
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
blue by 15.0
29.20.1
27.227.1
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Third
8090
#25
8.61.0
14.513.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.2
blue by 16.7
25.30.1
24.324.2
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned