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Red36
1010710.6
976211.1
58745.9
Blue81
479543.3
929814.4
663919.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727340506080901003681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
4Coral scored#7
14Coral points26
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
18Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points2
36Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.92.5
39.336.9
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 2.5
43.31.3
36.738.0
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
Second
11.12.5
12.710.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 8.3
6639
#18
19.41.3
17.018.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Third
10.62.5
11.99.4
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
blue by 3.9
9298
#29
14.41.3
10.511.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed