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Red93
486123.3
482828.9
872732.7
Blue71
650029.2
68887.2
789028.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8363020401001201401609371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#13
37Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
55Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
8Foul points6
93Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8727
#12
32.71.0
29.630.7
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End2.0
red by 3.5
29.20.5
27.127.6
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Second
28.91.0
24.425.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 0.2
7890
#20
28.70.5
26.026.5
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
Third
4861
#16
23.31.0
19.320.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
red by 16.1
6888
#30
7.20.5
6.16.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed