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Red75
960516.2
600424.4
960714.1
Blue60
875717.0
915020.1
95596.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60662040801001207560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
59Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
6Foul points8
75Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6004
#14
24.41.0
22.523.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.1
End1.7
red by 4.2
9150
#19
20.10.7
22.621.9
Auto1.9
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Second
9605
#15
16.21.0
14.415.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 0.8
8757
#23
17.00.7
20.519.8
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Third
9607
#27
14.11.0
11.412.5
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 8.0
9559
#26
6.20.7
9.38.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed