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Red107
650235.9
482923.7
842925.3
Blue75
456134.4
153332.7
624214.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769220406010012014010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points26
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
64Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points0
107Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#17
35.92.2
26.829.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
red by 1.4
34.40.8
34.533.6
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
Second
25.32.2
24.226.4
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.4
blue by 7.4
32.70.8
30.529.6
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
Third
23.72.2
19.822.1
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
red by 9.8
6242
#22
14.00.8
13.512.7
Auto0.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed