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Red107
929814.4
58745.9
482828.9
Blue51
960516.2
1010710.6
486123.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87460206010012014010751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+58Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
12Processor points6
28Net points4
40Algae points10
87Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#1
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
107Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
45.92.0
36.938.9
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 22.6
4861
#16
23.30.3
20.320.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
Second
28.92.0
25.427.5
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 12.7
9605
#15
16.20.3
15.415.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
9298
#29
14.42.0
11.813.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.0
red by 3.9
10.60.3
9.49.2
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed