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Red68
153332.7
915020.1
976211.1
Blue56
624214.0
789028.7
68887.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735202040601001201406856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
6Coral scored#9
23Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
49Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
68Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.5
29.630.1
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
red by 4.0
7890
#20
28.70.8
26.527.3
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
Second
9150
#19
20.10.5
21.922.4
Auto1.9
Teleop16.3
End1.9
red by 6.2
6242
#22
14.00.8
12.713.5
Auto0.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Third
11.10.5
10.210.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
red by 3.9
6888
#30
7.20.8
6.67.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed