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Red78
122516.8
776327.0
650235.9
Blue124
479543.3
482923.7
90058.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8067020406010012014078124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+46
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +18
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
49Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points38
78Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#17
35.90.5
29.029.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
blue by 7.5
43.31.7
38.039.8
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
Second
27.00.5
28.829.3
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End1.8
red by 3.3
23.71.7
22.123.8
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Third
1225
#13
16.80.5
14.615.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 8.4
9005
#28
8.41.7
4.56.2
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned