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Red39
875717.0
80908.6
368010.8
Blue59
663919.4
95596.2
650029.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476202040801003959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points1
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +4
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
29Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
39Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8757
#23
17.00.8
19.819.0
Auto2.4
Teleop11.9
End2.7
blue by 12.1
29.20.1
27.627.6
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Second
3680
#21
10.80.8
11.010.2
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End0.1
blue by 8.6
6639
#18
19.40.1
18.318.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Third
8090
#25
8.60.8
12.311.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.1
End2.2
red by 2.5
9559
#26
6.20.1
8.68.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned