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Red48
68887.2
976211.1
960516.2
Blue78
789028.7
1010710.6
482923.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32720204060801001204878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
36Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
48Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9605
#15
16.20.7
15.215.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 12.5
7890
#20
28.70.9
27.328.2
Auto7.4
Teleop20.6
End0.7
Second
11.10.7
10.711.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 12.6
23.70.9
23.824.7
Auto4.4
Teleop16.9
End2.4
Third
6888
#30
7.20.7
7.58.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 3.3
10.60.9
9.210.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed