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Qual 572025 FNC District Catawba County Event
Red94
153332.7
90058.4
600424.4
Blue150
58745.9
650235.9
264021.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5997020408012014016094150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+58
Endgame+50
Fouls+56
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +64
12Coral scored#23
42Coral points82
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
52Total teleop116
Reef
4L4#11
6L3#8
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
6Foul points12
94Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#7
32.72.2
30.1→32.3
Auto6.2
Teleop20.3
End6.2
blue by 13.2
587
#11
45.94.0
38.9→42.9
Auto5.9
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
6004
#14
24.42.2
22.6→24.7
Auto4.6
Teleop18.1
End1.7
blue by 11.5
6502
#17
35.94.0
29.5→33.5
Auto8.3
Teleop25.7
End1.9
Third
9005
#28
8.42.2
6.2→8.4
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 13.1
2640
#10
21.54.0
15.1→19.2
Auto2.4
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned