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Red65
842925.3
624214.0
960714.1
Blue90
368010.8
872732.7
479543.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions579402040801201401606590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+39
Endgame+27
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points11
3Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
48Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
2Foul points0
65Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.8
25.526.3
Auto6.9
Teleop16.1
End2.4
blue by 18.0
43.30.6
39.840.4
Auto11.2
Teleop31.0
End1.1
Second
9607
#27
14.10.8
13.314.1
Auto0.5
Teleop11.9
End1.7
blue by 18.5
8727
#12
32.70.6
31.532.2
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End2.0
Third
6242
#22
14.00.8
13.514.3
Auto0.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
red by 3.1
3680
#21
10.80.6
10.210.8
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed