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Red92
650029.2
122516.8
456134.4
Blue78
663919.4
486123.3
482828.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837002040601001201401609278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
67Total teleop46
Reef
7L4#2
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
92Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.2
32.733.9
Auto8.2
Teleop24.7
End1.5
red by 5.5
28.90.9
27.528.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End1.4
Second
29.21.2
27.628.8
Auto2.3
Teleop18.9
End8.0
red by 5.9
4861
#16
23.30.9
20.121.0
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End7.3
Third
1225
#13
16.81.2
15.016.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.9
End2.7
blue by 2.6
6639
#18
19.40.9
18.319.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned