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Red90
382226.8
572748.2
264027.4
Blue147
903257.9
153354.6
900843.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871165010015020090147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
15Coral scored#16
53Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
6Processor points18
16Net points28
22Algae points46
75Total teleop103
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#4
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
90Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#15
48.20.2
39.940.2
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
blue by 9.7
57.92.5
34.336.9
Auto13.8
Teleop41.0
End3.2
Second
2640
#34
27.40.2
27.327.5
Auto3.0
Teleop22.1
End2.3
blue by 27.2
1533
#10
54.62.5
39.642.2
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Third
3822
#27
26.80.2
19.319.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 16.5
9008
#20
43.42.5
34.937.4
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned