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Red128
929822.1
551122.9
650047.7
Blue121
572748.2
373740.5
919826.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88112406080100120140160180128121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +6
17Coral scored#19
60Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
84Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
128Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#18
47.72.4
37.339.7
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
blue by 0.5
5727
#15
48.20.8
40.341.1
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
Second
5511
#37
22.92.4
19.822.2
Auto7.4
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 17.6
40.50.8
29.229.9
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
Third
9298
#28
22.12.4
18.821.2
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End2.3
blue by 4.1
9198
#33
26.20.8
23.023.7
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned