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Red105
689438.6
663931.3
672923.7
Blue103
264233.8
900843.4
842944.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89113406080100140160180105103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
+6Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +24
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
91Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
105Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6894
#19
38.61.4
34.535.8
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
blue by 5.9
44.60.1
36.536.5
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
Second
6639
#29
31.31.4
26.227.5
Auto4.6
Teleop25.7
End1.0
blue by 12.1
9008
#20
43.40.1
37.437.3
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
Third
6729
#30
23.71.4
21.522.8
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 10.1
2642
#35
33.80.1
27.327.2
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed