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Red116
949679.0
382226.8
1058326.5
Blue148
153354.6
58755.6
90068.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13215680100120140180200220116148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+24
Endgame+34
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
7Coral scored#10
34Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#6
6Processor points6
28Net points24
34Algae points30
73Total teleop83
Reef
9L4#8
3L3#9
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points0
116Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.5
80.580.0
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 10.6
900
#3
68.40.1
53.053.0
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
Second
3822
#27
26.80.5
19.519.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
blue by 28.7
587
#4
55.60.1
51.952.0
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
Third
26.50.5
21.921.4
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
blue by 28.1
1533
#10
54.60.1
42.242.2
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned