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Red119
650251.1
744319.0
205949.6
Blue120
1007728.9
453450.1
874631.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107101050150200119120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +13
20Coral scored#13
73Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
97Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#5
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
119Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#22
51.11.5
37.739.1
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
red by 1.0
4534
#31
50.11.5
44.245.6
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Second
49.61.5
44.846.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
red by 17.8
31.81.5
22.323.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6
Third
7443
#25
19.01.5
14.616.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
blue by 9.9
28.91.5
25.727.2
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed