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Red122
919826.2
519023.3
551122.9
Blue157
482921.2
873854.2
456139.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481400100200250122157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+39
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#16
58Coral points57
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#9
24Processor points18
20Net points36
44Algae points54
102Total teleop111
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
4Foul points0
122Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9198
#33
26.22.8
20.223.0
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.1
blue by 28.0
8738
#16
54.21.2
45.947.1
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
Second
5190
#24
23.32.8
13.215.9
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
blue by 16.5
4561
#11
39.81.2
43.744.9
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
Third
5511
#37
22.92.8
17.019.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.2
End1.3
red by 1.7
4829
#36
21.21.2
25.526.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned