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Red104
776351.0
264027.4
1026012.3
Blue89
350638.1
929822.1
322928.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8683406010012010489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
19Coral scored#13
70Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
84Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
9L3#4
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
104Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7763
#13
51.01.9
30.632.6
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
red by 13.0
38.10.7
31.532.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Second
2640
#34
27.41.9
27.529.5
Auto3.0
Teleop22.1
End2.3
blue by 1.3
3229
#38
28.70.7
23.324.0
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
Third
12.31.9
16.718.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End0.6
blue by 9.8
9298
#28
22.10.7
18.118.8
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned