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Red136
872736.9
572748.2
903257.9
Blue88
345928.8
479558.8
482827.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125965015020013688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+38Teleop
+36Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points59
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
97Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
14Foul points2
136Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.90.2
36.937.0
Auto13.8
Teleop41.0
End3.2
blue by 0.9
4795
#26
58.80.7
44.844.2
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
Second
5727
#15
48.20.2
40.240.3
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
red by 19.4
3459
#14
28.80.7
21.420.7
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End6.5
Third
8727
#23
36.90.2
42.642.7
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End1.5
red by 9.5
4828
#21
27.40.7
29.829.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed