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Red97
453450.1
689438.6
929744.9
Blue102
373740.5
272434.0
1058326.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135895010015020097102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+17Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
82Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#6
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
97Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#31
50.11.1
45.344.2
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
red by 9.5
40.51.3
27.829.2
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
Second
9297
#12
44.91.1
32.531.4
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
red by 10.9
2724
#17
34.01.3
30.732.0
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
Third
6894
#19
38.61.1
35.634.5
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
red by 12.1
26.51.3
20.621.9
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned