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Red82
551122.9
264233.8
672923.7
Blue175
205949.6
456139.8
90068.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6215205010020025082175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+69
Endgame+93
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +25
3Leave6
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points35
16Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +44
12Coral scored#22
44Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
6Processor points6
16Net points24
22Algae points30
66Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#9
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
20Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points0
82Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#35
33.80.4
26.827.3
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End0.3
blue by 34.6
900
#3
68.41.9
51.153.0
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
Second
6729
#30
23.70.4
21.021.5
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 25.9
49.61.9
42.944.8
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
Third
5511
#37
22.90.4
16.617.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 16.9
4561
#11
39.81.9
41.943.7
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned