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Red87
663931.3
744319.0
842944.6
Blue58
929822.1
519023.3
1026012.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions954401502008758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
50Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
18Foul points0
87Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.7
37.236.5
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
red by 21.2
5190
#24
23.30.8
12.313.2
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
Second
6639
#29
31.30.7
26.926.2
Auto4.6
Teleop25.7
End1.0
red by 9.2
9298
#28
22.10.8
17.318.1
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Third
7443
#25
19.00.7
15.314.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
red by 6.7
12.30.8
15.916.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed