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Qual 172025 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red132
900843.4
1058326.5
776351.0
Blue146
663931.3
479558.8
382226.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979690100110120130140132146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points69
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
6Processor points24
16Net points24
22Algae points48
97Total teleop117
Reef
12L4#11
8L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
132Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7763
#13
51.02.7
32.6→35.3
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
blue by 7.8
4795
#26
58.83.7
44.2→47.8
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
Second
9008
#20
43.42.7
37.3→40.0
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
red by 12.1
6639
#29
31.33.7
27.5→31.2
Auto4.6
Teleop25.7
End1.0
Third
10583
#39
26.52.7
21.4→24.1
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
blue by 0.3
3822
#27
26.83.7
19.0→22.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed