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Red74
453450.1
650047.7
382226.8
Blue112
519023.3
949679.0
689438.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051535020025074112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
43Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
74Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#31
50.12.1
42.940.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
blue by 29.0
79.01.7
78.877.1
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
Second
6500
#18
47.72.1
41.539.4
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
red by 9.1
6894
#19
38.61.7
38.937.2
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Third
3822
#27
26.82.1
21.419.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 3.5
5190
#24
23.31.7
19.818.1
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned