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Red108
900843.4
272434.0
456139.8
Blue168
479558.8
776351.0
572748.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125133050100150200250300108168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+74
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave9
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points38
20Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +47
13Coral scored#25
46Coral points89
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
74Total teleop121
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#12
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#7
22Game pieces#40
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
108Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#20
43.40.4
40.339.8
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
blue by 15.5
4795
#26
58.82.8
45.948.7
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
Second
4561
#11
39.80.4
43.042.5
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
blue by 11.2
7763
#13
51.02.8
38.741.5
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Third
2724
#17
34.00.4
31.531.0
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
blue by 14.2
5727
#15
48.22.8
41.644.4
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed