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Red159
90068.4
345928.8
1007728.9
Blue104
322928.7
1058326.5
663931.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208750100150200159104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+43Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +35
24Coral scored#14
85Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
113Total teleop78
Reef
11L4#7
9L3#5
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
159Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
68.43.1
55.958.9
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
red by 37.2
6639
#29
31.30.8
34.635.4
Auto4.6
Teleop25.7
End1.0
Second
28.93.1
24.227.3
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End2.4
red by 0.2
3229
#38
28.70.8
25.326.1
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
Third
3459
#14
28.83.1
23.926.9
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End6.5
red by 2.2
26.50.8
24.124.9
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed