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Red91
874631.8
842944.6
672923.7
Blue40
551122.9
482921.2
264027.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98890501502002503003504009140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+49Teleop
+45Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +45
12Coral scored#3
42Coral points11
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
12Processor points6
8Net points0
20Algae points6
62Total teleop17
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
6Foul points0
91Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.1
36.536.4
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
red by 17.2
2640
#34
27.42.7
30.427.7
Auto3.0
Teleop22.1
End2.3
Second
31.80.1
25.425.4
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6
red by 8.9
5511
#37
22.92.7
22.219.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Third
6729
#30
23.70.1
24.224.1
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
red by 2.5
4829
#36
21.22.7
28.025.3
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed