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Red93
479558.8
873854.2
929744.9
Blue101
272434.0
345928.8
482921.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1547605010020025093101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
66Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#5
7L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
2Foul points2
93Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#26
58.83.1
47.944.8
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
red by 24.8
2724
#17
34.01.3
29.430.7
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
Second
8738
#16
54.23.1
49.045.9
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
red by 25.4
3459
#14
28.81.3
20.121.4
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End6.5
Third
9297
#12
44.93.1
35.632.5
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
red by 23.7
4829
#36
21.21.3
24.225.5
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed