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Red160
90068.4
874631.8
272434.0
Blue105
1058326.5
650047.7
519023.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1298850100150200160105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+43Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
21Coral scored#22
75Coral points78
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
121Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#9
6L3#4
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
160Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
68.42.2
60.762.9
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
red by 20.7
6500
#18
47.70.6
39.440.0
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
Second
2724
#17
34.02.2
31.033.2
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
red by 7.5
26.50.6
26.727.3
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
Third
31.82.2
24.626.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6
red by 8.5
5190
#24
23.30.6
18.118.8
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed