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Red117
382226.8
345928.8
873854.2
Blue162
456139.8
672923.7
58755.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112136050150200250117162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+33
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +33
15Coral scored#24
53Coral points86
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
73Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#11
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
117Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8738
#16
54.20.4
53.453.9
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
blue by 1.3
587
#4
55.62.4
52.755.1
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
Second
3459
#14
28.80.4
29.730.1
Auto4.8
Teleop17.5
End6.5
blue by 11.0
4561
#11
39.82.4
42.544.9
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
Third
3822
#27
26.80.4
19.319.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
red by 3.1
6729
#30
23.72.4
22.224.6
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned