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Red148
900843.4
551122.9
479558.8
Blue170
373740.5
350638.1
650251.1
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11512180100140160180148170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
22Coral scored#17
79Coral points61
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#11
24Processor points18
20Net points44
44Algae points62
123Total teleop123
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#5
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
148Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#26
58.82.5
48.751.2
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
red by 7.7
6502
#22
51.13.8
45.649.5
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
Second
9008
#20
43.42.5
39.842.4
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
red by 2.8
40.53.8
34.938.7
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
Third
5511
#37
22.92.5
21.223.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.2
End1.3
blue by 15.2
38.13.8
31.835.6
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned