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Red119
1026012.3
482921.2
949679.0
Blue143
205949.6
264233.8
903257.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12913090100110120140150160170119143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+28
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points21
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +26
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points50
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
6Processor points24
12Net points28
18Algae points52
76Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
4Foul points0
119Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.3
77.176.8
Auto21.7
Teleop50.5
End6.8
red by 21.1
57.91.5
45.346.8
Auto13.8
Teleop41.0
End3.2
Second
4829
#36
21.20.3
25.224.9
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
blue by 28.3
49.61.5
46.948.4
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
Third
12.30.3
17.517.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End0.6
blue by 21.5
2642
#35
33.81.5
28.029.5
Auto7.2
Teleop26.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned