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Red56
453450.1
322928.7
872736.9
Blue116
744319.0
776351.0
929744.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189005015020056116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+62
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
6Coral scored#15
23Coral points54
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
31Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
56Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#31
50.13.5
40.837.3
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
blue by 1.0
7763
#13
51.01.9
41.543.3
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
8727
#23
36.93.5
38.535.0
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End1.5
blue by 8.0
9297
#12
44.91.9
34.736.6
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
Third
3229
#38
28.73.5
28.825.4
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
red by 9.7
7443
#25
19.01.9
12.013.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed