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Red121
650047.7
672923.7
272434.0
Blue73
456139.8
929822.1
1058326.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114102608014016018012173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#8
50Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
6Processor points6
24Net points4
30Algae points10
80Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
6Foul points0
121Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#18
47.71.1
40.041.2
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End6.8
red by 7.9
4561
#11
39.81.1
44.943.8
Auto8.1
Teleop22.9
End8.8
Second
2724
#17
34.01.1
33.234.3
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
red by 7.5
26.51.1
27.326.2
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
Third
6729
#30
23.71.1
24.625.8
Auto2.9
Teleop19.9
End0.9
red by 1.7
9298
#28
22.11.1
18.016.8
Auto4.8
Teleop15.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned