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Red87
482921.2
874631.8
205949.6
Blue114
58755.6
382226.8
900843.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031255015020087114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#10
41Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
65Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
87Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.9
48.447.5
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
blue by 6.0
587
#4
55.60.2
55.154.9
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
Second
31.80.9
26.825.9
Auto5.8
Teleop25.4
End0.6
blue by 11.5
9008
#20
43.40.2
42.442.2
Auto7.4
Teleop31.0
End5.0
Third
4829
#36
21.20.9
24.924.0
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
blue by 5.6
3822
#27
26.80.2
19.719.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned