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Red123
350638.1
929744.9
872736.9
Blue114
519023.3
663931.3
453450.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12195050150200250123114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
82Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#6
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
123Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#12
44.91.0
36.637.6
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.5
blue by 5.2
4534
#31
50.11.1
37.338.4
Auto13.5
Teleop34.9
End1.6
Second
38.11.0
35.636.7
Auto7.1
Teleop23.2
End7.8
red by 6.8
6639
#29
31.31.1
35.036.1
Auto4.6
Teleop25.7
End1.0
Third
8727
#23
36.91.0
35.036.1
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End1.5
red by 13.5
5190
#24
23.31.1
18.819.9
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed