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Red158
479558.8
1026012.3
153354.6
Blue93
551122.9
1007728.9
776351.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1239905015020025015893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+59Teleop
+71Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
40Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +45
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points29
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
24Processor points12
20Net points16
44Algae points28
102Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points6
158Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#26
58.83.0
51.254.2
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
red by 7.8
7763
#13
51.00.4
43.342.9
Auto14.3
Teleop35.1
End1.6
Second
1533
#10
54.63.0
44.447.4
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
red by 25.7
28.90.4
25.925.5
Auto7.0
Teleop19.5
End2.4
Third
12.33.0
17.220.2
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End0.6
blue by 10.6
5511
#37
22.90.4
23.823.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed