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Red115
873854.2
744319.0
373740.5
Blue141
572748.2
842944.6
90068.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10915550200250115141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+34
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +24
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
69Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#31
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
115Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8738
#16
54.20.6
53.954.4
Auto12.8
Teleop39.2
End2.2
blue by 14.2
900
#3
68.40.7
62.962.1
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
Second
40.50.6
38.739.3
Auto6.1
Teleop24.3
End10.1
blue by 7.7
5727
#15
48.20.7
44.343.5
Auto6.9
Teleop38.7
End2.5
Third
7443
#25
19.00.6
13.914.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
blue by 25.6
44.60.7
38.938.1
Auto15.6
Teleop27.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed