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Red130
272434.0
650251.1
689438.6
Blue134
322928.7
903257.9
382226.8
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299650150200130134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+16
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#8
26Coral points40
32Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +17
15Coral scored#15
54Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
72Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
12Foul points0
130Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#22
51.10.1
49.549.3
Auto8.3
Teleop41.9
End0.9
blue by 6.8
57.92.8
46.849.6
Auto13.8
Teleop41.0
End3.2
Second
6894
#19
38.60.1
35.935.8
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
red by 9.9
3229
#38
28.72.8
25.428.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.4
End2.0
Third
2724
#17
34.00.1
34.334.2
Auto8.0
Teleop20.6
End5.4
red by 7.2
3822
#27
26.82.8
19.522.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed