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Red130
519023.3
205949.6
58755.6
Blue161
90068.4
919826.2
479558.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13215980100120140180200220240130161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+43
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +27
3Leave3
3Coral scored#9
17Coral points44
20Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +16
21Coral scored#24
76Coral points86
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
96Total teleop112
Reef
10L4#12
4L3#12
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
130Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#4
55.60.4
54.954.4
Auto12.8
Teleop37.7
End5.1
blue by 12.9
900
#3
68.40.3
62.162.4
Auto16.5
Teleop50.0
End1.9
Second
49.60.4
47.547.1
Auto11.4
Teleop29.1
End9.1
blue by 9.2
4795
#26
58.80.3
54.254.5
Auto12.3
Teleop45.7
End0.8
Third
5190
#24
23.30.4
19.919.5
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End2.4
blue by 2.8
9198
#33
26.20.3
26.526.8
Auto4.6
Teleop19.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed