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Red80
1058326.5
153354.6
482921.2
Blue135
689438.6
872736.9
744319.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058840608012014080135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+51
Endgame+49
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points29
26Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +48
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points54
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
0Processor points18
8Net points24
8Algae points42
48Total teleop96
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#9
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points6
80Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#10
54.61.2
47.446.3
Auto12.3
Teleop33.9
End8.4
red by 16.0
6894
#19
38.62.8
35.838.6
Auto5.6
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Second
26.51.2
26.225.0
Auto6.4
Teleop19.1
End1.1
blue by 10.3
8727
#23
36.92.8
36.138.9
Auto8.9
Teleop26.4
End1.5
Third
4829
#36
21.21.2
24.022.8
Auto2.7
Teleop16.4
End2.1
red by 2.2
7443
#25
19.02.8
14.417.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed